Shiv? where is the Alpha?

Sorry for my absence to my single-digit Subscribers. Life’s been exciting lately, personally working on being the best version of myself.

I have sooo many things to share but I am going to start with the one on my mind

I believe investors evolve over time. For me, I have been coming to the conclusion that there is a lot of merit in holding 'Solid Companies' for a really long time. But, the world is so dynamic and cycles are so short, how can investors know which companies to hold for decades?

Strong Brands in Mega Trend sectors.

I have learned the hard way to compete with TATA in the renewable energy space, just the name takes away all our merit and technological advantage. But i am going to talk about something we all can relate too.

Let’s take the Food & QSR space for example..🍔 🍕

I know people who just cannot change their brand of Coffee that they drink at home.This includes alcohol brands too- I choose black label over everything (lol fancy)

Even as growing up, I think 'Maggi' was imprinted in my brain and like a Zombie, I would crave just Maggi every weekend.

I think it is the same for our favourite Cola, Restaurant, QSR etc, the brand loyalty just becomes too strong in some cases. Food companies also have terrific returns on intangible assets. They just have Classic Moats built around the business which cannot be over run by a cheaper, inferior Chinese type product.

Hence, for me, If I am looking for a stock to own for my kids where my holding period needs to be 10 years or so, I would definitely start with a Food or QSR or FMCG company. Again, we cannot go and buy something, no matter how good, at 50-75x P/e, that wouldn’t make sense to me

Hence, as always, such a portfolio should be built around a Bearish market, Market Panics or as always, hunt for special situations.

For example, Consider the tech giant Apple. Their brand loyalty is legendary, with customers eagerly awaiting each new iPhone release. The Apple ecosystem, encompassing devices, software, and services, has created a formidable moat. Investors who held Apple stock for the past decade dint imagine the size.

Basically, there is actually Big Money in holding strong brands for decades.

Also, another quote I read today 🤖

"'Give yourself a lot of shots to get lucky' is even better advice than it appears on the surface. Luck isn’t an independent variable but increases super-linearly with more surface area—you meet more people, make more connections between new ideas, learn patterns, etc."

— Sam Altman

(p.s its also applicable in roulette lmao) 😂

HEAVY DATA OF THIS MONTH

You shall be seeing me more often in your inbox with so much more alpha. Also please review my logo, it’s not AI-generated 😂😂😂😂😂😂